I am reading Thomas Sowell’s “Vision of the Anointed,” and it’s great food for thought. One of the most interesting thoughts I’m having, from reading it, is that Social Science is really only ideal for a socialist state. I’ll explain.
I am a social science graduate. I loved studying it. However, even at the time I took it, I found the distinctions between “scientific psychology” and “folk psychology” (for example) to be stupid. The most “scientific” of psychologists made up this category to distinguish themselves from those other psychologists who were interested in beliefs, feelings, and other subjective phenomena. Forgetting about the fact that people make decisions based on those beliefs, feelings, and subjective phenomena everyday. The scientific psychologists felt they were being more accurate by sticking to testable theories and variables, which did not include things like beliefs or anything relying on the “ghost in the machine” (i.e. an individual’s inner life). That kind of thing was reserved for “folk” psychologists who insisted on a very real inner experience. Scientific psychologists preferred to deny this mental, inner, subjective realm altogether to avoid religious or metaphysical implications… the existence of soul, consciousness, absolute morality, spirit, etc. And of course, they dubbed themselves more scientific and accurate for doing so. According to them, life is a closed system where everything is biological and there is no need for outside phenomena (like emotions or the will) to invade, smashing the scientific process.
Yet I found this to be stupid not just because everyone’s personal (scientific) experience is that the mental realm exists– how can you publish an academic journal using the pronouns “I” or “we”, if there is no “I” or “we”, truly?–but because cultural anthropologists and sociologists found beliefs, emotions, and other subjective phenomena to be relevant and testable. Of course, they couldn’t compare to testing rats in a cage. But these social scientists still considered themselves to be “scientific” even though they studied personality, culture, beliefs, taboos, more’s, and other nebulous variables. Did that mean only “scientific” psychologists were scientific? Or that they had a corner on the market of applicable human research? Of course not. It was better to pretend “I” and “soul” and “culture” existed, with all the beliefs, emotions, and subjective phenomena, and use that as a starting point for meaningful research.
What does this have to do with Sowell? Well, I will tell you.
One of the important points Sowell makes in the beginning of his book, is that our public policy convictions are influenced by statistics and research the media believes is important. However, we all know that statistics are selectively chosen, results are even more selectively chosen, and that data can be manipulated. Sowell’s point is not that we should throw out statistics, but that we should scrutinize them more carefully. As scientists.
He levels a charge at public policy leaders who only superficially dive into social science research to grab a few “aha!” statistics, to buttress their ideological vision. He accuses them of not being scientific at all. By this he means they will stop aggregating data at any arbitrary point which confirms their point. For a basic example, he uses the old standby that females make less money than males, when you compare income levels for similar job positions. (I always thought this was true, myself). But he explains that while social scientists are trying to “control” for income level, they can’t actually accomplish this. There are too many other variables at play. If we simply compare men with women at similar job positions, we forget that we couldn’t control for education level, for instance. A slightly greater number of women have bachelor degrees than men, but men outnumber women 2 to 1 when it comes to masters’ degrees. So if a job pays more for having more education, that messes up the interpretation. But most policy does not explain this third variable.
Sowell even takes the example farther. Men outnumber women in PhDs by 59%, but even if we were to compare men and women who have PhDs and their income levels, we have not yet “controlled” for income because the PhD subject areas are skewed: men have 90% of the PhDs in “hard” sciences and mathematical fields whereas women predominate in the social sciences and education. So we’re still comparing apples and oranges. If we aggregate again and try to “control” for income–let’s say by comparing PhDs for women and men in the same concentration, we still don’t get a perfect picture. If you compared women and men in economics, their salaries might still differ because men outnumber women in econometrics 10 to 1. This kind of aggregation problem occurs in every job field, including CEOs, doctors, therapists, etc. You just can’t “control” for the variables you’re looking for. There are always intervening variables. But we only get a partial look at the subject from most policy experts or elites.
This leads me to a personal hypothesis that social scientists really cannot reliably guide a democratic-republic. They can only guide a socialist or totalitarian state. This is because in a diverse republic, people are allowed to take different paths to get to the jobs they have. They could major in psychology but go into business, or go back to work after having children. They can choose what colleges they go to, for how long, before they get their job. They have “n” number of paths to take, which makes studying them and aggregating data scientifically very difficult. A female CEO’s income cannot easily be compared to a male CEO’s income, even if we think they are basically the same job. They might not be the same job, or they might not have had the same education, or the same background experience, or the same strategies for development. The same goes for university professors, or other seemingly “equal” professions. Any number of factors might explain differences. Even the diversity of culture affects statistics, as education experts have long noted for blacks, whites, Hispanics, and Asians. This makes “controlling” for variables very difficult, and their application to public policy unreliable.
But if we had a socialist (centrally planned) or totalitarian state, then social science would suddenly become much more accurate and deterministic. The route to becoming a CEO would be a lot less diverse, and researchers could study variables much more easily. The whole world would suddenly be more “scientific” as diversity and culture were submitted to state-directed standards. We would know, for example, that the Nabisco company and General Mills company were much more alike because they were controlled in an egalitarian way by government. We would therefore know that the conditions under which a business grew, and which each hired a CEO would be much more similar, perhaps even identical (a government-specified path to becoming a CEO would be narrow, with limitations and restrictions on outlying candidates). Then we could more accurately compare a female CEO with a male CEO. Our world, scientifically and centrally planned, would be a researcher’s paradise.
This is, of course, the point of anti-utopian novels like 1984 and A Brave New World. The scientist’s paradise. Of course the human spirit would find a way to buck those systems too, eventually. But a world where socialists and scientists take over would be inevitable, since we would all be reduced to egalitarianism like equal white rats in a lab maze. Being white or Latino wouldn’t matter because everything would be standardized. Being a male or female wouldn’t matter since the state would raise us androgynously, all the same. Makes a lot more sense to me now how they even got the term “Social Science.” Very close to “Socialist Science,” right?
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